Army West Point
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
802  John Valeri SO 33:30
828  Jacob Fong JR 33:32
851  Thomas Girardot SR 33:34
967  Andrew Beck SR 33:43
1,070  Nickolas Causey SO 33:53
1,215  Zach Brehm FR 34:05
1,239  William Bailey JR 34:07
1,359  Garrett Plant FR 34:18
1,438  Ryan Smathers SO 34:24
National Rank #146 of 308
Northeast Region Rank #20 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 7.1%
Top 20 in Regional 86.3%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating John Valeri Jacob Fong Thomas Girardot Andrew Beck Nickolas Causey Zach Brehm William Bailey Garrett Plant Ryan Smathers
Army vs Navy 10/16 1166 33:33 33:58 33:33 33:40 33:52 34:44 34:06 34:23 34:26
Patriot League Championships 10/31 1137 33:31 33:28 33:30 33:45 33:11 34:09 33:50 34:14 34:25
Northeast Region Championships 11/13 1156 33:27 33:23 33:46 33:52 34:52 33:40 34:25





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 15.9 492 0.0 2.0 5.1 7.1 7.6 8.0 8.8 8.8 8.6 8.7 8.1 7.0 6.5 5.3 4.5 2.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
John Valeri 84.0
Jacob Fong 87.6
Thomas Girardot 90.8
Andrew Beck 102.5
Nickolas Causey 118.1
Zach Brehm 135.9
William Bailey 139.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 2.0% 2.0 9
10 5.1% 5.1 10
11 7.1% 7.1 11
12 7.6% 7.6 12
13 8.0% 8.0 13
14 8.8% 8.8 14
15 8.8% 8.8 15
16 8.6% 8.6 16
17 8.7% 8.7 17
18 8.1% 8.1 18
19 7.0% 7.0 19
20 6.5% 6.5 20
21 5.3% 5.3 21
22 4.5% 4.5 22
23 2.6% 2.6 23
24 0.8% 0.8 24
25 0.3% 0.3 25
26 0.1% 0.1 26
27 0.0% 0.0 27
28 0.0% 0.0 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0